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A Lesson Relearned - Playing With An Edge

A Fuller Rationalization – Playing With An Edge

Richard Munchkin and I often get “how do you do it” questions which we periodically reply on our podcast. Generally I’ve to offer a briefer reply than I need on the air as a result of a extra full reply requires that folks see issues written down. Plus, my weblog is learn primarily by gamers who perceive the fundamentals of video poker. The podcast is geared extra in the direction of gamers who play a wide range of video games with a bonus.

So right this moment we’ll have a look at two current questions I acquired at [email protected].

1. I used to be practising NSU Deuces on the Video Poker for Winners software program and I bumped into this hand:  W W 4♦ 6♦Okay♣.

I held the W W 4♦ 6♦.  Video Poker for Winners mentioned I made an error and I ought to have solely held the deuces.

Nonetheless, your technique card for NSU Deuces says that I maintain a Straight Flush 4 with one hole (SF4 -1) and that’s what I had chosen.

Except I’m mis-reading your technique card, which is feasible, which technique ought to I observe?  I’m following your Degree 4 Superior NSU technique on the cardboard.

Understanding another person’s notation features a studying curve. It is a state of affairs the place you might be misunderstanding SF4-1. Within the two-deuce part of the technique card, it refers to fingers with one inside, which isn’t synonymous with one hole. Whereas all gaps are insides, not all insides are gaps. Particularly, if the mix is shut sufficient to the deuce that the deuce could also be included in the identical straight or straight flush, then the mix consists of a further inside. This makes WW46 a SF4-2, reasonably than a SF4-1.

Why is that this? Nicely evaluate the variety of playing cards that may fill in a straight flush ranging from WW57 (a real SF4-1) with WW46. Within the former, you’ll have a suited 9, 8, 6, 4, and three together with the opposite two deuces, for a complete of seven playing cards. Within the latter, you’ll discover 8, 7, 5, and three, together with the opposite two deuces, for a complete of six playing cards.

One other means to take a look at it’s to make use of Video Poker for Winners. In case you enter the hand in query, you’ll discover WW46 is value 15.21 cash. In case you change the straight flush mixture to WW57, you’ll discover that value 16.28 cash. In case you had been taking part in for {dollars}, 5 cash at a time, the distinction within the worth of the mixtures is $1.07. The worth of two deuces by themselves is someplace between these two numbers.

Within the fundamental technique on the identical card, SF4-1 is spelled out extra (WW45-WW56, WW57-WW97). Our assumption after we constructed the playing cards was that gamers would grasp the essential technique earlier than they went to the superior technique. We don’t embody the ranges on the superior playing cards as a result of we want room to explain the assorted penalty card conditions. We additionally embody an insert with the technique card, defining all of the phrases. We perceive that many gamers ignore the insert, however the info is there in the event that they search for it.

This appears to be like like a case the place a participant went on to the superior technique, didn’t learn the insert, and made assumptions about what SF4-1 actually means. Sadly, the definition was a bit extra difficult than he first realized.

2. If I do know of a 100.1+% video poker recreation that I might play “completely” (lower than 1 error per 100k fingers), is it affordable to deliberately make small, cheap errors to disguise the standard of the play? I’ve discovered a couple of spots the place +EV will be maintained.

A 100.1% edge could be very tiny. (Sure, I do know you mentioned 100.1%+, however I’m unsure how a lot that plus signal provides, so I’m treating it as whether it is negligible.) In case you’re taking part in for {dollars}, at a reasonable pace of 800 fingers per hour, which means you’ve gotten a bonus of $4 per hour. And also you wish to surrender a part of that for functions of disguise? For me, the sport shouldn’t be even playable.

Video poker has ups and downs. It’s potential that you could possibly play this recreation for a number of years, completely, and nonetheless be adverse. 

For casinos evaluating your play, they in all probability have a look at 100% accuracy and 99.8% accuracy as being equivalent. One must be actually educated to play a recreation 99.8% precisely. And but on this recreation, with 99.8% accuracy you’re taking part in a dropping recreation.

Insofar as your declare of 1 error per 100 thousand fingers goes, rely me a skeptic that you could possibly obtain that degree of close to perfection. Sure, that’s potential, however how would you measure this? Did you really play 1,000,000 fingers and solely have 10 errors? I doubt that. Most gamers don’t play in addition to they suppose they do. I’m 100% constructive that I do know 9/6 Jacks or Higher on the 100% accuracy degree. However that doesn’t imply I by no means make a mistake as a consequence of taking part in too quick, letting my thoughts wander, or simply turning into distracted for an on the spot. Most of these errors in all probability typically occur to you as properly, even when you understand the sport extraordinarily properly.

Your recreation could also be minimally playable throughout a number of level days or throughout another promotion. However as it’s, it’s not value your time.


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